What the crossing says this week.

This week's indicators

The numbers that move the price.

Every card is one number with its source and its date. If it cannot be cited, it is not here.

Windows · real volume by crossing

When there is product — and when it pays to sell.

The bars are the volume that crossed the border, month by month, per USDA. It is the average of three full years: a season pattern holds up against one bad weather year, a single year does not. This week’s price is above, in the pulse. The amber line is price pressure: it rises when volume gets thin. Pick a product and it recalculates.

Market read

What the sources say this week.

One number with source and date. Notes Arturo has reviewed also carry the read and what to do if you buy or if you grow.

1. Price·The Americas04 · 09 · 2026

   Labor Day shelf: avocado is the hook, at $0.93 each.

   USDA FVWRETAIL, U.S. national retail, September 4: 326,494 ads, +14% versus the same week of 2025. Hass avocados each at $0.93 versus $1.16 a year ago, with 4,471 ads against 2,615 last week and 3,866 a year ago. Blackberries 6 oz at $2.96, raspberries 6 oz at $2.99, organic bananas at $0.76 per lb.

   Source: USDA AMS · FVWRETAIL ↗

2. Exchange rate·Mexico and partners04 · 09 · 2026

   Peso at 16.89: the grower paid in dollars loses on two fronts.

   Banxico, via El Financiero, September 4: 16.89 pesos per dollar, down 3 centavos on the day and 14 centavos (0.82%) on the week. Next data point: Mexico's 2027 Economic Package, September 8.

   Source: Banxico vía El Financiero ↗

3. Price·Mexico and partners04 · 09 · 2026

   Roma tomato: half of last year's volume, and price is not moving up.

   USDA Tomato Report, Texas crossings, September 4: Roma 25-lb extra large mostly $19.95–21.95; large $17.95–18.95; medium $15.95–16.95. September 1–3 crossings: 92 loads via Pharr against 105 a year ago, and 47 via Otay Mesa against 162. Nogales, only 4.

   Source: USDA AMS · Tomato Report ↗

4. Logistics·Rest of world03 · 09 · 2026

   Panama cuts transits and the transpacific climbs: it hits Peru, not the truck through Texas.

   Drewry WCI, September 3: composite at US$4,465 per 40-ft container, with Shanghai–Los Angeles up 5% and six blank sailings announced for next week, twice this week's count. Panama Canal Authority, advisories A-28 and A-29-2026 of August 20: daily transits drop from 36 to 34 as of September 3 and to 32 on the 15th, on drought.

   Source: Drewry WCI ↗

5. Volume·Mexico and partners02 · 09 · 2026

   Cucumber: Texas gives way before Nogales publishes its first price.

   USDA, Texas crossings, September 2: cucumber 1 1/9-bushel medium at $21.95–24.95, much lower; through Otay Mesa, medium at $18.95–20.00. Average carton: $16.96, $22.52, $23.33 and $20.02 over the four weeks to August 29, with 28.1 million lb crossed against 25.1 the week before. The first Nogales FOB report is expected the week of September 13.

   Source: USDA AMS · USMCAW ↗

6. Price·Mexico and partners02 · 09 · 2026

   Avocado: crossings nearly doubled and 48s dropped $6–8.

   USDA, Mexico crossings through Texas, September 2: Hass 48s at $24.25–26.25 per 2-layer carton, lower; on August 19 they were $32.25. Weekly crossings went from 29.1 to 52.9 million lb. Trading fairly slow.

   Source: USDA AMS · USMCAW ↗

7. Freight·Mexico and partners01 · 09 · 2026

   Truck rates are rising, and there is a truck surplus at the border.

   USDA FVWTRK, South Texas, September 1: New York $6,500–6,800 per load (+6% on the week), Los Angeles $3,600–3,800 (+16%), Baltimore $4,800–5,200 (+14%), Chicago $3,700–4,000 (+4%). Truck availability: surplus. EIA diesel, August 31: $5.599 per gallon, 5 cents below the week before and $1.87 above a year ago.

   Source: USDA AMS · FVWTRK ↗

8. Tariffs and trade·Mexico and partners31 · 08 · 2026

   Winter strawberries: the antidumping deposit is already collected at entry.

   U.S. Department of Commerce, via FreshFruitPortal, August 31: preliminary margins of 3.37% to 5.28% by company, 4.83% for all others; cash deposits are now collected at entry. Final determination on January 4, 2027, then the ITC injury vote.

   Source: Departamento de Comercio EE.UU. vía FreshFruitPortal ↗

9. Volume·The Americas21 · 08 · 2026

   Chile forecasts its largest avocado crop in 17 years.

   Paltas de Chile, via FreshFruitPortal, August 21: Chile forecasts 285,000 tons of avocado for 2026–27, 10% above last season's 265,000 and the largest volume in 17 years.

   Source: Paltas de Chile vía FreshFruitPortal ↗

Notes are built from public, citable sources. We publish the number as soon as it lands; the read and the recommendation only once Arturo reviews and signs them.